Tom Ellis
1 min readDec 23, 2023

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Dear Dr. Ogamdi,

Thank you for this comprehensive assessment of our climate predicament (other than the major error others have pointed out of mistaking “1000 years” for what was actually 100,000 years, over which the mean global temperature has changed by 5 degrees’)

Unfortunately, I can’t share your optimism that our modern industrial civilization will be able to adapt to the coming catastrophe. We are all entirely too dependent on fossil fuels and their byproducts, along with the heavy industry and transportation infrastructures that depend on readily available net energy from fossil fuels in order to function at all. And there is no certainty that our present biota—including our agriculture—will be able to withstand the rapid and accelerating droughts, floods, fires, storms, and insect die-offs caused by extreme heat waves or polar vortex events as the oceanic circulation between the poles and tropics shut down. We are in for a catastrophic mass extinction event, including much or most of the human population, I’m afraid.
My take on all this is that while we are collectively doomed to a mass global die-off, individually we still have options. And in my view, our most adaptive option is to grow gardens, grow community, and grow awareness—starting here and now!

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Tom Ellis
Tom Ellis

Written by Tom Ellis

I am a retired English professor now living in Oregon, and a life-long environmental activist, Buddhist, and holistic philosopher.

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