Tom Ellis
2 min readJun 1, 2023

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Thank you for your reply, Paul. Unfortunately, your statements are predicated on a set of presuppositions which, however common among economists, entrepreneurs, and IT engineers, are manifestly counterfactual.

The first is that energy is like any other commodity--that demand drives supply, and as demand for renewables outpaces demand for fossil fuels, renewables will simply displace them, the planet will cool, and things will go on as normal.

But energy is NOT just another resource, to be tranformed into commodities at will. Rather NET energy is the foundation of any and all economies; it is the energy you have left after the energy you invest to get that energy (abbreviated EROEI or Energy Return on Energy Invested). The net energy of fossil fuels is by far the highest, especially oil and natural gas. (It is lower for coal, since far more energy must be invested in mining, transporting, and processing coal than is spent on drilling holes and refining oil into gasoline or other petrochemicals. By comparison, the net energy of solar and wind is somewhere in the negative numbers: it takes far more energy up front to build a solar array than the energy you will get from the sun on that array. Ditto for giant windmills. You will never build a solar array using solar energy directly, nor will you build a windmill using wind energy! All this manufacturing requires very dense energy, with a very high EROEI--that is, fossil fuels--to power the mining of materials (especially rare earth metals for solar panels and batteries), manufacture the infrastructure, transport it, and assemble it.

And that is only the first erroneous major premise in the mainstream thinking of modern economists and technocrats! The others are that endless growth of extraction of resources, production, and consumption of commodities (and population growth to create larger markets) is possible on a finite planet. Or that a zero-sum accounting system (money) can lead to general affluence on a finite planet. A Monopoly game has only one possible outcome: the winner owns everything, and everyone else owns nothing--because it is based on the zero-sum logic of money, as applied to a finite system. Our global market economy follows the exact same zero-sum rules! In fact, we see this happening today, in the upward concentration of wealth into fewer and fewer hands, and the consequent impoverishment of the multitudes throughout the world.

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Tom Ellis
Tom Ellis

Written by Tom Ellis

I am a retired English professor now living in Oregon, and a life-long environmental activist, Buddhist, and holistic philosopher.

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